Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.358560 0.423023 0.494000 0.577709 0.673483 0.779381 0.905068
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.254651 0.338132 0.439466 0.570471 0.734175 0.930730 1.183181
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.194288 0.285993 0.407030 0.576001 0.802906 1.093838 1.491264
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.151802 0.245161 0.377873 0.575913 0.858618 1.241486 1.791596
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.116100 0.204784 0.339942 0.554386 0.877886 1.337828 2.028558
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.098871 0.188188 0.332636 0.573906 0.954827 1.518239 2.394950
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.084419 0.172698 0.323631 0.587972 1.022964 1.689612 2.760262
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.076519 0.166824 0.328905 0.624599 1.128634 1.924531 3.236895
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.064266 0.150100 0.312376 0.621480 1.168121 2.058390 3.566587
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.053536 0.133940 0.293958 0.611849 1.194308 2.171289 3.869248
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.045173 0.120810 0.278937 0.605831 1.224991 2.292314 4.191464
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.039679 0.112808 0.272682 0.615204 1.283359 2.463201 4.606215
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.034452 0.104438 0.264707 0.620894 1.336823 2.632077 5.033735
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.029708 0.096134 0.255533 0.622957 1.383600 2.792816 5.458688
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.026162 0.090094 0.250412 0.632737 1.446090 2.986085 5.953012
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.022641 0.083175 0.242004 0.634106 1.491484 3.150545 6.405437
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.018470 0.073093 0.223980 0.611241 1.484312 3.214834 6.678295
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.016894 0.070684 0.225053 0.632700 1.572376 3.467503 7.315085
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.015245 0.067567 0.223699 0.648092 1.648483 3.701388 7.929159
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.014637 0.067928 0.231938 0.687973 1.781859 4.057058 8.794536
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.012662 0.062689 0.223428 0.684594 1.817560 4.217741 9.290862
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.010768 0.057086 0.212761 0.674122 1.835741 4.343194 9.724256
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.009251 0.052442 0.204063 0.667577 1.862141 4.486734 10.200209